Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Trento, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Giovanni Fonio		Enrico Dalla Valle

	1	2
	2.56	1.48
	2.56	1.43
	2.63	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.24)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Fonio
36%

Enrico Dalla Valle
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Fonio's form might have worsened.

Enrico Dalla Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Enrico Dalla Valle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Enrico Dalla Valle than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Enrico Dalla Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Fonio is ranked ATP: 490. Dalla Valle is ranked ATP: 492.

Fonio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dalla Valle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dalla Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dalla Valle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Dalla Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fonio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Fonio - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Enrico Dalla Valle - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Giovanni Fonio - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Radu Albot - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Marko Miladinovic - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.01.26	Giovanni Fonio - Mert Naci Turker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Enrico Dalla Valle
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Alessandro Battiston - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Filippo Romano - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Cyril Vandermeersch - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Kasra Rahmani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Giovanni Fonio	Fonio G. retired
21.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Enrico Dalla Valle	Canceled
Exhibition Italian Championship Men
24.06.20	Giovanni Fonio - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0
ITF Tournaments
03.10.19	Giovanni Fonio - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2
10.05.17	Enrico Dalla Valle - Giovanni Fonio	1:2

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