Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TODI (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday


	Giovanni Fonio		Julian Ocleppo

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.7	2.1
	1.78	2.07
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)	2.04 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Fonio
54.3%

Julian Ocleppo
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Julian Ocleppo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giovanni Fonio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julian Ocleppo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Julian Ocleppo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Giovanni Fonio - Julian Ocleppo Predictions

Users Predictions: Julian Ocleppo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fonio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ocleppo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ocleppo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fonio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Giovanni Fonio - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
08.08.23	Giovanni Fonio - Nicholas David Ionel	1:2 ✺
31.07.23	Giovanni Fonio - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Giovanni Fonio - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Giovanni Fonio - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Julian Ocleppo
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Julian Ocleppo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Julian Ocleppo	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Federico Iannaccone - Julian Ocleppo	1:2 ✺
07.08.23	Julian Ocleppo - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
11.07.23	Julian Ocleppo - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Giovanni Fonio - Julian Ocleppo	1:2
25.07.21	Giovanni Fonio - Julian Ocleppo	2:1

Giovanni Fonio - Julian Ocleppo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide