Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Giovanni Oradini		Alexander Weis

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	2.15	1.62
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.83)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
46.2%

Alexander Weis
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Oradini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Weis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Oradini is ranked ATP: 647. Weis is ranked ATP: 564.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Weis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oradini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Oradini - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Weis - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Giovanni Oradini - Federico Bove	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Giovanni Oradini - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Giovanni Oradini - Ludovico Vaccari	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Oleg Prihodko - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Kasra Rahmani - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Niccolo Catini - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Alexander Weis - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Jesse Delaney - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Alexander Weis	1:2
ATP Challenger
11.06.23	Giovanni Oradini - Alexander Weis	0:2
ITF Tournaments
17.02.22	Giovanni Oradini - Alexander Weis	2:0

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