Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday


	Giuseppe La Vela		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.30
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.42
	2.92	1.35	Watch
	3	1.35	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.73)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giuseppe La Vela
31.3%

Samuele Pieri
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giuseppe La Vela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Samuele Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giuseppe La Vela than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Giuseppe La Vela - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. La Vela will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pieri will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

La Vela is ranked ATP: 498. Pieri is ranked ATP: 398.

Recent performances by La Vela have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pieri is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pieri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Samuele Pieri - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.14%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giuseppe La Vela
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Sergey Fomin - Giuseppe La Vela	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Leonardo Borrelli - Giuseppe La Vela	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Giuseppe La Vela	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Viktor Durasovic - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLW
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Moritz Kudernatsch - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Martin Krumich - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Rudolf Molleker	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Giuseppe La Vela - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide