Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday


	Goncalo Marques		Francisco Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.42
	2.45	1.48
	2.82	1.44
	2.62	1.40
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.39)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goncalo Marques
35.3%

Francisco Rocha
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goncalo Marques has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Francisco Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goncalo Marques than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goncalo Marques, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francisco Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Goncalo Marques - Francisco Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marques is ranked ATP: 1186. Rocha is ranked ATP: 860.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Marques may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rocha could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goncalo Marques
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Goncalo Marques - Jeffrey Fradkin	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Goncalo Marques - Thijs Boogaard	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Goncalo Marques - Izan Almazan Valiente	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Anas Bennour Dit Sahli - Goncalo Marques	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Goncalo Marques - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL
- Francisco Rocha
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Dominique Rolland	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Francisco Rocha - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Francisco Rocha - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLL

Goncalo Marques - Francisco Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide