Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 CATTOLICA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: CATTOLICA (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gonzalo Bueno		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.18	1.64
	2.25	1.57
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2.24	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.72)	1.62 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
42.8%

Andrea Picchione
57.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gonzalo Bueno's performance.

Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Picchione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gonzalo Bueno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Picchione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Bueno is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Picchione is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Picchione could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Picchione will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ITF Tournaments
20.06.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
13.06.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Henrik Heise Korsgaard	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Goncalo Oliveira	1:2 ✺
26.05.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Andrea Picchione
ITF Tournaments
20.06.23	Andrea Picchione - Jakob Schnaitter	2:1 ✺
17.06.23	Andrea Picchione - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
16.06.23	Andrea Picchione - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
14.06.23	Andrea Picchione - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	Gabriel Debru - Andrea Picchione	Picchione A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWW?

Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Picchione

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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