Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.5	1.5
	2.35	1.61
	2.38	1.53
	2.34	1.55	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.02)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
39.6%

Hernan Casanova
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gonzalo Villanueva's form might have worsened.

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hernan Casanova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gonzalo Villanueva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hernan Casanova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Gonzalo Villanueva - Hernan Casanova Predictions

Users Predictions: Hernan Casanova will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Villanueva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Casanova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villanueva won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
06.03.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.23	Jose-Rubin Statham - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.02.23	Kyle Seelig - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
23.02.23	Preston Brown - Gonzalo Villanueva	Brown P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLL?
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.23	Hernan Casanova - Steve Johnson	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
25.01.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	1:2 ✺
23.01.23	Hernan Casanova - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Hernan Casanova - Cristian Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.05.22	Gonzalo Villanueva - Hernan Casanova	2:0
14.11.21	Hernan Casanova - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1
28.04.21	Gonzalo Villanueva - Hernan Casanova	2:0
ITF Tournaments
08.08.18	Hernan Casanova - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2

Gonzalo Villanueva - Hernan Casanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide