Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - Final

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.40
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.57
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.48)	2.48 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
62.4%

Hernan Casanova
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Casanova will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 397. Casanova is ranked ATP: 409.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 4.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Pucinelli De Almeida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.87%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Samuel Heredia - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Alan Magadan - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Hernan Casanova - Mario Andre Galarraga	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Valerio Aboian - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	Casanova H. Retired
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	2:1
14.02.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	2:0
ATP Challenger
03.06.24	Hernan Casanova - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2
25.01.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	1:2
14.12.21	Hernan Casanova - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
06.06.21	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	0:2

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide