Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 MENDOZA (ARGENTINA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.44	1.53
	2.5	1.5
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.69)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
38%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gonzalo Villanueva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Villanueva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ambrogi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villanueva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ambrogi will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ambrogi to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ITF Tournaments
05.10.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Facundo Juarez	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Fernando Cavallo	2:1 ✺
28.09.23	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Juan Estevez - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ITF Tournaments
05.10.23	Leonardo Aboian - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Mariano Kestelboim - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Gonzalo Villanueva - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide