Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	2.67	1.49
	2.52	1.45	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.55)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
36.8%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gonzalo Villanueva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gonzalo Villanueva - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Villanueva is ranked ATP: 371. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 278.

Recent performances by Villanueva have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pucinelli De Almeida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villanueva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pucinelli De Almeida will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villanueva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
10.08.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Federico Zeballos	Canceled ✺
05.08.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Max Schoenhaus	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?LWWL
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Matej Dodig - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled ✺
04.08.25	Jamie Mackenzie - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Federico Cina - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Hugo Dellien - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.06.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2
04.03.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1
11.11.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2
ITF Tournaments
01.04.21	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0

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