Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Todi 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matej Dodig		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.57	2.25
	1.71	2.02
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.1)	2.16 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
56.9%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matej Dodig's performance.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Matej Dodig - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 259. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 278.

Recent performances by Dodig have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pucinelli De Almeida has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pucinelli De Almeida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Jan Choinski - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Matej Dodig - Stijn Slump	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Matej Dodig - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Jamie Mackenzie - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Federico Cina - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Hugo Dellien - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Stefan Palosi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Matej Dodig - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Matej Dodig - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Preview

Form

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