Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - Semi-finalsDate: 3 October 2026, Saturday
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Guido Ivan Justo |
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Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.90 |
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1.36 |
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2.80 |
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1.39 |
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2.97 |
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1.35 |
Watch |
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3.00 |
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1.40 |
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2.65 |
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1.40 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.86 ↑ (2.56) |
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1.38 ↓ (1.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 21.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guido Ivan Justo 32.5% | Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Guido Ivan Justo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Justo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Justo is ranked ATP: 239., and Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 135..Justo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Barrios Vera has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).Barrios Vera could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Barrios Vera holding a narrow advantage.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Justo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.84%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 30.01.26 | Guido Ivan Justo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera | 1:2 | | 20.04.23 | Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Guido Ivan Justo | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;