Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cali 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Guido Ivan Justo		Mateus Alves

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Guido Ivan Justo
48.2%

Mateus Alves
51.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alves (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Justo is ranked ATP: 384. Alves is ranked ATP: 462.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Ryan Dickerson	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Pablo Robledo Hoyos	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Carlos Maria Zarate	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW
- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Salvador Price - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Mateus Alves - Natan Rodrigues	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Mateus Alves - Jefferson Wendler Filho	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Samuel Heredia - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

Guido Ivan Justo - Mateus Alves