Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Villa Maria 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Guido Ivan Justo		Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

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Guido Ivan Justo
41.4%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
58.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Justo is ranked ATP: 386. Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 279.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Justo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dellien Velasco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Nicolas Bruna	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Nicolas Villalon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Zdenek Kolar - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW

Guido Ivan Justo - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco