Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.75	1.96
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
51.6%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 287. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 244.

Dellien Velasco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guillen Meza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dellien Velasco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Zdenek Kolar - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Anas Mazdrashki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Luka Mikrut - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Michael Vrbensky - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Guillen Meza A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0
ITF Tournaments
18.02.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0
ATP Challenger
06.11.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide