Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 São Paulo (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday


	Guido Ivan Justo		Peter Bertran

	1	2
	1.34	2.9
	1.37	2.8
	1.33	3.1
	1.38	2.83	Watch
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.65)	2.86 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Ivan Justo
67.7%

Peter Bertran
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guido Ivan Justo's performance.

Peter Bertran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peter Bertran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guido Ivan Justo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peter Bertran than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peter Bertran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Justo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bertran is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bertran could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ITF Tournaments
03.07.24	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Guido Ivan Justo	Justo G. I. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Marcos Lee Chan Baratau	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Alexander Stater	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Emile Hudd	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?LWWL
- Peter Bertran
Davis Cup Group III
17.06.24	Peter Bertran - Richard Mallory	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.06.24	Peter Bertran - Fnu Nidunjianzan	1:2 ✺
14.06.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Peter Bertran	1:2 ✺
13.06.24	Jelani Sarr - Peter Bertran	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Mwendwa Mbithi - Peter Bertran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW

Guido Ivan Justo - Peter Bertran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide