Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PALMAS DEL MAR (PUERTO RICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 June 2023, Thursday


	Gustavo Heide		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	1.97
	1.81	2.04
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.77	1.97	Watch
	1.67	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.99)	2 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
53.3%

Alex Rybakov
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gustavo Heide's performance.

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Rybakov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gustavo Heide that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Rybakov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Gustavo Heide - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Rybakov will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heide: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Heide is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rybakov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rybakov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Gustavo Heide - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Marius Copil - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
11.06.23	Ji Sung Nam - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Gustavo Heide - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
05.06.23	Gustavo Heide - Ernesto Escobedo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Alex Rybakov - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Evan Zhu - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Alfredo Perez - Alex Rybakov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.05.23	Hynek Barton - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Petr Nouza - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWLL

Gustavo Heide - Alex Rybakov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide