Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MEDELLIN (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday


	Gustavo Heide		Federico Delbonis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.85	1.41
	2.76	1.47
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.88	1.38	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.15)	1.42 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
34.2%

Federico Delbonis
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

75.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Federico Delbonis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gustavo Heide that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Delbonis than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Delbonis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Gustavo Heide - Federico Delbonis Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Delbonis will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Delbonis: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Heide is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Delbonis in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Delbonis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Delbonis is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Delbonis to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Heide won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
22.06.23	Gustavo Heide - Federico Delbonis	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Nicolas Mejia - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Gustavo Heide - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
17.06.23	Kei Nishikori - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
16.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Federico Delbonis
ATP Challenger
24.06.23	Federico Delbonis - Guido Andreozzi	2:1 ✺
23.06.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Federico Delbonis	0:2 ✺
22.06.23	Gustavo Heide - Federico Delbonis	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Federico Delbonis	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Federico Delbonis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.06.23	Gustavo Heide - Federico Delbonis	0:2

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