Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday


	Gustavo Heide		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.72	2.09	Watch
	1.8	2.11
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.72	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.16)	2.1 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
54.6%

Stefano Napolitano
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gustavo Heide's performance.

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gustavo Heide that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Napolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Gustavo Heide - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heide: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Heide could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Gstaad
14.07.24	Filip Misolic - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Mika Brunold - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Gustavo Heide - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
05.07.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Orlando Luz - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Zsombor Piros - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Stefano Napolitano - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Stefano Napolitano - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Stefano Napolitano - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL

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