Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch (Netherlands), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday


	Stefano Napolitano		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.35	1.3	Watch
	3.46	1.35
	3.43	1.34
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.38	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.98)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
28.3%

Adrian Mannarino
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Stefano Napolitano - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: Adrian Mannarino will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Napolitano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mannarino has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Napolitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mannarino is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.24	Robin Haase - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.05.24	Dino Prizmic - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.24	Stefano Napolitano - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Giulio Zeppieri - Adrian Mannarino	3:1 ✺
ATP Lyon
22.05.24	Adrian Mannarino - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Adrian Mannarino - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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