Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Guy Den Ouden		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.76	1.96	Watch
	1.88	1.99
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.88)	1.97 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
52.6%

Andrea Guerrieri
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Guy Den Ouden - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrieri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 175. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 360.

In recent matches, Den Ouden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guerrieri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Den Ouden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Den Ouden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Den Ouden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Guy Den Ouden - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.05%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Franco Agamenone - Guy Den Ouden	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Guy Den Ouden - Diego Dedura-Palomero	Den Ouden G. retired ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Guy Den Ouden - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?L?LW
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Federico Bondioli - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Radu Albot - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.02.22	Guy Den Ouden - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0

Guy Den Ouden - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide