Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: GUADALAJARA (MEXICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: GUADALAJARA (MEXICO) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	SportKlub
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub
France	19:00	beIN Sports
Greece	20:00	Nova Sports
Poland	19:00	CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	19:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	20:00	Setanta Sports


	Hailey Baptiste		Caroline Garcia

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.3	1.32
	3.58	1.34
	3.3	1.33
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.45	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.73)	1.32 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hailey Baptiste
28%

Caroline Garcia
72%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hailey Baptiste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hailey Baptiste's form might have worsened.

Caroline Garcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caroline Garcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Garcia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Hailey Baptiste - Caroline Garcia Predictions

Users Predictions: Caroline Garcia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Garcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Garcia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Baptiste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Guadalajara
18.09.23	Karolina Pliskova - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Hailey Baptiste - Lya Fernandez	2:0 ✺
WTA San Diego
10.09.23	Magdalena Frech - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Victoria Hu - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
23.08.23	Diana Shnaider - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL
- Caroline Garcia
WTA Guadalajara
19.09.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Caroline Garcia	1:2 ✺
WTA San Diego
14.09.23	Danielle Collins - Caroline Garcia	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Sloane Stephens - Caroline Garcia	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
29.08.23	Caroline Garcia - Yafan Wang	0:2 ✺
WTA Cleveland
24.08.23	Caroline Garcia - Lin Zhu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
17.01.22	Hailey Baptiste - Caroline Garcia	2:1

Hailey Baptiste - Caroline Garcia