Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: CALI (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday


	Hailey Baptiste		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.28
	1.59	2.16
	1.63	2.32
	1.62	2.2
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.62	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	2.21 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hailey Baptiste
57.5%

Elvina Kalieva
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hailey Baptiste - Elvina Kalieva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Baptiste will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kalieva will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baptiste: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Baptiste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hailey Baptiste
ITF Tournaments
19.01.23	Hailey Baptiste - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
18.01.23	Hailey Baptiste - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
09.01.23	Hailey Baptiste - Yuriko Lily Miyazaki	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.01.23	Katie Boulter - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
04.01.23	Astra Sharma - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
25.01.23	Marie Benoit - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Marie Benoit - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
20.01.23	Emiliana Arango - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
19.01.23	Quinn Gleason - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
18.01.23	Alana Smith - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW

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