Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Katie Boulter		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.2
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.91)	2.18 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katie Boulter
56.2%

Hailey Baptiste
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Boulter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katie Boulter's performance.

Hailey Baptiste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hailey Baptiste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katie Boulter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hailey Baptiste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Katie Boulter - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulter (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Katie Boulter will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Boulter is ranked WTA: 54. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 51.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boulter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boulter won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Katie Boulter - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.13%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Hailey Baptiste - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.87%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katie Boulter
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
20.09.25	Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Katie Boulter - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Cleveland
21.08.25	Katie Boulter - Viktorija Golubic	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Katie Boulter - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Hailey Baptiste - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Hailey Baptiste - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cleveland
19.08.25	Anastasia Zakharova - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
07.08.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Austin
25.02.23	Katie Boulter - Hailey Baptiste	2:0
ITF Tournaments
05.01.23	Katie Boulter - Hailey Baptiste	2:0
ATP Challenger
02.03.20	Hailey Baptiste - Katie Boulter	0:2

Katie Boulter - Hailey Baptiste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide