Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Hamad Medjedovic		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.83
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.16)	1.78 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
47.8%

Alibek Kachmazov
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamad Medjedovic's performance.

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamad Medjedovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alibek Kachmazov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hamad Medjedovic - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Medjedovic will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medjedovic: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Medjedovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Medjedovic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Lukas Klein - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
07.11.22	Hamad Medjedovic - Filip Horansky	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Hamad Medjedovic - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Giovanni Oradini - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Hamad Medjedovic - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
09.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Maxime Janvier - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Mick Veldheer	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Altug Celikbilek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL

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