Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guangzhou (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday


	Han Shi		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
	4	1.25
	3.4	1.3
	3.75	1.26	Watch
	3.85	1.29
	3.64	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.72	1.28	Watch
	3.75	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.64)	1.28 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Han Shi
25.7%

Jessika Ponchet
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Han Shi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Han Shi's form might have worsened.

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessika Ponchet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Han Shi than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Han Shi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessika Ponchet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Han Shi - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Users Predictions: Jessika Ponchet will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shi is ranked WTA: 254. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 104.

Shi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ponchet is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ponchet is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Han Shi
WTA Ningbo
12.10.24	Han Shi - Ella Seidel	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
04.10.24	Han Shi - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
25.09.24	Moyuka Uchijima - Han Shi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.24	Han Shi - Jiaqi Wang	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Han Shi - Fang An Lin	Lin F. A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLL?
- Jessika Ponchet
WTA Guangzhou
20.10.24	Jessika Ponchet - Arianne Hartono	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Jessika Ponchet - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
WTA Osaka
14.10.24	Jessika Ponchet - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Jessika Ponchet - Kimberly Birrell	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Jessika Ponchet - Qiang Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

Han Shi - Jessika Ponchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide