Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Changsha, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Han Shi		Maria Timofeeva

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	3.9	1.22	Watch
	4.13	1.24
	11.04	1.02	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.82	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (3)	1.21 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Han Shi
19.7%

Maria Timofeeva
80.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Han Shi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Han Shi's form might have worsened.

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Timofeeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Han Shi than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Han Shi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Timofeeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Han Shi - Maria Timofeeva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shi is ranked WTA: 259. Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 191.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Shi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Timofeeva is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Han Shi
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Jeline Vandromme - Han Shi	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Han Shi	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Naiktha Bains - Han Shi	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Solymar Colling - Han Shi	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Mia Wainwright - Han Shi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Maria Timofeeva
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Maria Timofeeva - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.07.25	Maria Timofeeva - Alina Korneeva	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Zarina Diyas - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Lanlana Tararudee - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Maria Timofeeva - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.05.25	Han Shi - Maria Timofeeva	2:0

Han Shi - Maria Timofeeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide