Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Caserta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Han Shi		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
			Watch
	4.1	1.18
	4.45	1.18
	3.99	1.22	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.91	1.22	Watch
	3.25	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.25)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Han Shi
23.7%

Nuria Brancaccio
76.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Han Shi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Han Shi's form might have worsened.

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuria Brancaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Han Shi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Han Shi - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shi is ranked WTA: 232. Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 192.

Shi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brancaccio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brancaccio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brancaccio is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Han Shi
ITF Tournaments
28.05.25	Katarina Zavatska - Han Shi	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Han Shi - Julie Belgraver	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Han Shi	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Han Shi - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Han Shi - Wushuang Zheng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWL
- Nuria Brancaccio
ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Darja Semenistaja - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Arianne Hartono - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

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