Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Harold Mayot		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	1.80	1.90
	1.90	1.86
	2.08	1.82
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.05	1.76
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.82)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
48.4%

Gustavo Heide
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

Mayot is ranked ATP: 252. Heide is ranked ATP: 133.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Heide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Gustavo Heide - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.32%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Ilya Ivashka - Harold Mayot	Ivashka I. Walkover ✺
04.08.26	Filip Pieczonka - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Kilian Feldbausch - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Harold Mayot - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Harold Mayot - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?WLLW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
18.07.26	Gustavo Heide - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Cezar Cretu - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	David Poljak - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW

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