Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Luca Van Assche		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.60
	1.28	3.55	Watch
	1.29	3.85
	1.32	3.26
	1.25	3.90	Watch
	1.30	3.54	Watch
	1.22	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.44)	3.65 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
74.1%

Gustavo Heide
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Van Assche's performance.

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gustavo Heide might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Van Assche that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gustavo Heide could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luca Van Assche - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Heide will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 49. Heide is ranked ATP: 131.

Van Assche is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Heide has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Van Assche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Assche could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.17%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
26.07.26	Luca Van Assche - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Luca Van Assche - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWWW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Kitzbuhel
18.07.26	Gustavo Heide - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Cezar Cretu - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	David Poljak - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Borna Gojo - Gustavo Heide	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWW?

Luca Van Assche - Gustavo Heide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide