Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NOTTINGHAM (UNITED KINGDOM) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Harry Wendelken		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.33	1.58
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.41	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3.25)	1.53 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
39.2%

Alex Michelsen
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harry Wendelken's performance.

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harry Wendelken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.9%	0%	6.1%

Harry Wendelken - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Wendelken will win (votes: 31 - 93.9%). Michelsen will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wendelken: 85.7% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ATP Challenger
06.06.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Harry Wendelken - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.23	Harry Wendelken - Max Dahlin	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Daniil Glinka - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
01.06.23	Alexis Galarneau - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Alexis Galarneau - Alex Michelsen	N/A ✺
30.05.23	Alex Michelsen - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
24.04.23	Alex Michelsen - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
21.04.23	Enzo Couacaud - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 L?WLL

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