Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vale do Lobo 2 (Portugal), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vale do Lobo 2 (Portugal) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Harry Wendelken		Pedro Araujo

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.13	1.61
	2.19	1.63
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.22	1.56	Watch
	2.13	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.84)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
42.9%

Pedro Araujo
57.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harry Wendelken's form might have worsened.

Pedro Araujo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Araujo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harry Wendelken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Araujo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Araujo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Harry Wendelken - Pedro Araujo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Wendelken will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Araujo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 648. Araujo is ranked ATP: 468.

Recent matches Wendelken is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Araujo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wendelken could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Araujo - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ITF Tournaments
12.11.24	Harry Wendelken - Tymur Bieldiugin	2:0 ✺
30.10.24	Harry Wendelken - Ewen Lumsden	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Harry Wendelken - Christian Sigsgaard	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Harry Wendelken - Romain Faucon	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	James Story - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW
- Pedro Araujo
ITF Tournaments
13.11.24	Milosz Sroka - Pedro Araujo	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	John Echeverria - Pedro Araujo	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Philip Hjorth - Pedro Araujo	0:2 ✺
16.10.24	Lewie Lane - Pedro Araujo	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Pedro Araujo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Harry Wendelken - Pedro Araujo