Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Haruka Kaji		Emerson Jones

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.50	1.28
	3.3	1.29	Watch
	3.41	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.27	1.29	Watch
	3.3	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.97)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
27.5%

Emerson Jones
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Emerson Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emerson Jones than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Haruka Kaji - Emerson Jones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 257., and Jones is ranked WTA: 133..

In recent outings, Kaji has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jones is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kaji could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Jones carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
WTA Seoul
18.09.26	Haruka Kaji - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Haruka Kaji - Alexandra Shubladze	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Anastasia Kulikova - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Haruka Kaji - Han Shi	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Haruka Kaji - Yufei Ren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Emerson Jones
WTA Seoul
22.09.26	Emerson Jones - Yexin Ma	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.26	Suzan Lamens - Emerson Jones	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Emerson Jones	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
03.08.26	Emerson Jones - Lanlana Tararudee	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Emerson Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

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