Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nantes, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday


	Haruka Kaji		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.26	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.48	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)	2.38 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
60.8%

Francesca Curmi
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haruka Kaji, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Haruka Kaji - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 227. Curmi is ranked WTA: 420.

Kaji in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Curmi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Curmi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kaji will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Kaji to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
01.04.25	Viktoria Hruncakova - Haruka Kaji	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Haruka Kaji - Sara Saito	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Haruka Kaji - Miho Kuramochi	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Haruka Kaji - Haley Giavara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
01.04.25	Francesca Curmi - Mallaurie Noel	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Francesca Curmi - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Sara Milanese - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Amandine Monnot - Francesca Curmi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW

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