Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Figueira Da Foz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Haruka Kaji		Gabriela Knutson

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44
	2.21	1.56
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.59	1.45	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.25)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
37.5%

Gabriela Knutson
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Gabriela Knutson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 244. Knutson is ranked WTA: 266.

Kaji has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Knutson has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kaji may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Knutson is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Haruka Kaji - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Gabriela Knutson - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
15.07.25	Haruka Kaji - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Haruka Kaji - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Lia Karatancheva - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Anna Bondar - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gabriela Knutson
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Vitalia Diatchenko - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Gabriela Knutson - Vitalia Diatchenko	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Zarina Diyas - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Ellie Schoppe - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Maria Garcia - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

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