Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Blois, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Lia Karatancheva		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	2.95
			Watch
	1.32	3.2
			Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.27	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	3.22 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lia Karatancheva
71%

Haruka Kaji
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lia Karatancheva's performance.

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haruka Kaji might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Preview

Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 266. Kaji is ranked WTA: 233.

Karatancheva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kaji has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karatancheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Karatancheva is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Lia Karatancheva - Aneta Kucmova	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Lia Karatancheva - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Lia Karatancheva - Martha Matoula	Karatancheva L. retired ✺
30.05.25	Lia Karatancheva - Mia Ristic	2:1 ✺
29.05.25	Lia Karatancheva - Denislava Glushkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LW?WW
- Haruka Kaji
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Anna Bondar - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Haruka Kaji - Eva Vedder	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Haruka Kaji - Amarissa Kiara Toth	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Haruka Kaji - Manca Pislak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?LW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Haruka Kaji - Naho Sato	✺

Lia Karatancheva - Haruka Kaji: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide