Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Austin, TX (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday


	Haruka Kaji		Sophie Chang

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.77	1.91
	1.82	1.94
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.77	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.69)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
52.4%

Sophie Chang
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sophie Chang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haruka Kaji, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sophie Chang than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sophie Chang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Haruka Kaji - Sophie Chang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 275. Chang is ranked WTA: 239.

Kaji is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chang is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Haruka Kaji - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.78%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
14.11.24	Haruka Kaji - Jasmijn Gimbrere	2:1 ✺
13.11.24	Ekaterina Makarova - Haruka Kaji	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.11.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Haruka Kaji	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Emily Appleton - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Leonie Kung - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- Sophie Chang
ITF Tournaments
14.11.24	Vivian Ovrootsky - Sophie Chang	1:2 ✺
13.11.24	Amelia Honer - Sophie Chang	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Sophie Chang - Anastasia Tikhonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Merida
28.10.24	Maja Chwalinska - Sophie Chang	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Anna Frey - Sophie Chang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW

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