Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.43	2.88
	1.43	2.92	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
68.1%

Haruka Kaji
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Varvara Lepchenko - Haruka Kaji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 142. Kaji is ranked WTA: 282.

Recent matches Lepchenko is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kaji is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kaji could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lepchenko is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Marina Stakusic - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
31.10.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Tamara Zidansek - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.10.24	Anna Blinkova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Jil Belen Teichmann - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW
- Haruka Kaji
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Emily Appleton - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Leonie Kung - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Tara Moore - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.24	Haruka Kaji - Viktoria Hruncakova	0:2 ✺
31.10.24	Robin Anderson - Haruka Kaji	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

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