Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Takasaki, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Haruka Kaji		Valentina Ryser

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.2	1.59	Watch
	2.07	1.78
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.17)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
44.4%

Valentina Ryser
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Valentina Ryser has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haruka Kaji that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentina Ryser than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentina Ryser could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haruka Kaji - Valentina Ryser Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 315. Ryser is ranked WTA: 354.

Kaji is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ryser has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ryser is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentina Ryser - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
22.05.26	Rina Saigo - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Misaki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Mei Yamaguchi - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Emily Appleton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW
- Valentina Ryser
ITF Tournaments
22.05.26	Valentina Ryser - Hayu Kinoshita	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Valentina Ryser - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Kyoka Okamura - Valentina Ryser	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Valentina Ryser - Ayano Shimizu	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Katie Swan - Valentina Ryser	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLL

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