Match Info

Date: 4 March 2022, Friday


	Haruna Arakawa		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.6	2.2
	1.61	2.09
	1.65	2.17
	1.61	2.2
	1.74	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.36)	2.14 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruna Arakawa
56.7%

Francesca Curmi
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruna Arakawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haruna Arakawa's form might have worsened.

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Curmi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haruna Arakawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Arakawa in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Curmi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Curmi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arakawa will have a small advantage in this match.

Arakawa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arakawa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
03.03.22	Haruna Arakawa - Michaela Laki	2:1 ✺
02.03.22	Haruna Arakawa - Nicole Gadient	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Haruna Arakawa - Ayumi Morita	Arakawa H. walkover ✺
26.02.22	Haruna Arakawa - Julia Middendorf	2:1 ✺
25.02.22	Haruna Arakawa - Eszter Meri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WW?WW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
03.03.22	Francesca Curmi - Eszter Meri	2:0 ✺
02.03.22	Natsuho Arakawa - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
24.02.22	Haruna Arakawa - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
23.02.22	Anja Wildgruber - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
09.02.22	Francesca Curmi - Julita Saner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.02.22	Haruna Arakawa - Francesca Curmi	2:1

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