Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Daniel Milavsky

	1	2
	2.10	1.65
	2.13	1.64
	2.22	1.69
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.67
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.23)	1.65 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
43.4%

Daniel Milavsky
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Daniel Milavsky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Milavsky than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Hayato Matsuoka - Daniel Milavsky Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 343. Milavsky is ranked ATP: 326.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Milavsky may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Milavsky will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hayato Matsuoka - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Colton Smith - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Patrick Maloney - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Matisse Farzam - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW
- Daniel Milavsky
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Anton Shepp	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Thomas John Fancutt	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Liam Draxl - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Duncan Chan	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

Hayato Matsuoka - Daniel Milavsky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide