Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sapporo 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Hayato Matsuoka		Leo Vithoontien

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Hayato Matsuoka
69%

Leo Vithoontien
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Leo Vithoontien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leo Vithoontien than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 661. Vithoontien is ranked ATP: 804.

Matsuoka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vithoontien has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Matsuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Matsuoka is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Taketo Takamisawa	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	Enzo Wallart - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Michalis Sakellaridis - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Patrick Brady	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL
- Leo Vithoontien
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Mukund Sasikumar - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Jirat Navasirisomboon - Leo Vithoontien	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Khomtat Kitthachok - Leo Vithoontien	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Leo Vithoontien - M Rifqi Fitriadi	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Leo Vithoontien - Yuta Tomida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW

Hayato Matsuoka - Leo Vithoontien