Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Scott Jones

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.49	2.57
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.84)	2.44 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
61.9%

Scott Jones
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hayato Matsuoka's performance.

Scott Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scott Jones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hayato Matsuoka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scott Jones than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scott Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hayato Matsuoka - Scott Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Jones will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Matsuoka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 613. Jones is ranked ATP: 869.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Jones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Matt Hulme	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Nathan Trouve - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Qian Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW
- Scott Jones
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Scott Jones - Jacob Bradshaw	Jones S. walkover ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Scott Jones - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Scott Jones - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Emile Hudd - Scott Jones	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Scott Jones - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LLWL

Hayato Matsuoka - Scott Jones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide