Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 14 August 2026, Friday
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Fajing Sun |
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Hayato Matsuoka |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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2.10 |
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1.65 |
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 |
2.15 |
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1.6 |
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 |
2.44 |
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1.63 |
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2.25 |
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1.57 |
Watch |
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2.35 |
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1.57 |
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 |
2.14 |
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1.64 |
Watch |
 |
2.15 |
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1.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.26) |
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1.61 ↑
(1.56) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fajing Sun
42% | Hayato Matsuoka
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
Hayato Matsuoka will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Sun is ranked ATP: 326. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 309.In recent matches, Sun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Matsuoka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Matsuoka might have a minor edge in this game. We predict that Matsuoka will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Fajing Sun - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 06.01.26 | Hayato Matsuoka - Fajing Sun | 1:2 | | ITF Tournaments | | | 30.10.25 | Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka | 2:1 |
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