Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Darwin 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Hayden Jones		Colin Sinclair

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.56	2.28
	1.48	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)	2.35 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayden Jones
60.8%

Colin Sinclair
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayden Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hayden Jones's performance.

Colin Sinclair has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colin Sinclair might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayden Jones than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hayden Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colin Sinclair than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colin Sinclair could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hayden Jones - Colin Sinclair Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 1268., and Sinclair is ranked ATP: 485..

Jones is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sinclair has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sinclair could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jones holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jones has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayden Jones
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Makoto Ochi - Hayden Jones	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Casey Hoole - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Hayden Jones - Derek Pham	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Scott Jones - Hayden Jones	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Hayden Jones - Arjun Mehrotra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Colin Sinclair
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Lachlan Vickery - Colin Sinclair	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Casey Hoole - Colin Sinclair	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Chen Dong - Colin Sinclair	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Stefan Vujic - Colin Sinclair	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Colin Sinclair - Zijiang Yang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Hayden Jones - Colin Sinclair	2:0

Hayden Jones - Colin Sinclair: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide