Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Nakhon Pathom 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Hayu Kinoshita		Fangran Tian

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.25
	4.12	1.2
	2.93	1.34	Watch
	3.72	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.38)	1.26 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayu Kinoshita
26.1%

Fangran Tian
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayu Kinoshita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hayu Kinoshita's form might have worsened.

Fangran Tian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fangran Tian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayu Kinoshita than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hayu Kinoshita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fangran Tian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hayu Kinoshita - Fangran Tian Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5 Games - Tian (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Tian (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tian (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kinoshita is ranked WTA: 479. Tian is ranked WTA: 584.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tian might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayu Kinoshita
ITF Tournaments
01.09.25	Lunda Kumhom - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Brooke Black - Hayu Kinoshita	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Hannah Klugman - Hayu Kinoshita	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Hayu Kinoshita - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Jasmine Conway - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW
- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Fangran Tian - Sakura Hosogi	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Anchisa Chanta - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Fangran Tian - Dayeon Back	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Fangran Tian - Ekaterina Reyngold	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Patcharin Cheapchandej - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL

Hayu Kinoshita - Fangran Tian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide