Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DANDERYD (SWEDEN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Hazem Naw		Mohamed Safwat

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.85
	1.8	1.88	Watch
	1.84	1.93
	1.83	1.83
	1.79	1.95	Watch
	1.83	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.23)	1.89 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hazem Naw
50.9%

Mohamed Safwat
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hazem Naw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hazem Naw's performance.

Mohamed Safwat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mohamed Safwat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hazem Naw than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hazem Naw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mohamed Safwat than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mohamed Safwat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Hazem Naw - Mohamed Safwat Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Naw will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Safwat will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Naw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Naw could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Safwat will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hazem Naw
ATP Challenger
29.10.23	Hazem Naw - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.23	Dan Added - Hazem Naw	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup Group IV
21.10.23	Hazem Naw - Essa Qabazard	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Hazem Naw - Abdulla Al Marzouqi	2:0
18.10.23	Hazem Naw - Hao Yuan Ng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWW
- Mohamed Safwat
ITF Tournaments
08.11.23	Vadym Ursu - Mohamed Safwat	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Mohamed Safwat - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Mohamed Safwat - Alberto Lim	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Alex Knaff - Mohamed Safwat	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Saba Purtseladze - Mohamed Safwat	Purtseladze S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWW?

Hazem Naw - Mohamed Safwat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide