Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 December 2023, Thursday


	Heather Watson		Kristina Mladenovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.26	3.64
	1.27	3.64
	1.3	3.4
	1.29	3.32	Watch
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.44)	3.39 ↑ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heather Watson
72.5%

Kristina Mladenovic
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heather Watson's performance.

Kristina Mladenovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kristina Mladenovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heather Watson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristina Mladenovic than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kristina Mladenovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Watson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Watson is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Watson won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heather Watson
ITF Tournaments
05.12.23	Heather Watson - Vera Zvonareva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.12.23	Erika Andreeva - Heather Watson	2:1 ✺
01.12.23	Heather Watson - Jessika Ponchet	Watson H. walkover ✺
29.11.23	Alina Charaeva - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
28.11.23	Timea Babos - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WL?WW
- Kristina Mladenovic
ITF Tournaments
05.12.23	Kristina Mladenovic - Cristina Dinu	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Kristina Mladenovic - Arina Rodionova	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Mona Barthel - Kristina Mladenovic	0:2 ✺
01.12.23	Francesca Curmi - Kristina Mladenovic	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Nadine Keller - Kristina Mladenovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Eastbourne
25.06.18	Kristina Mladenovic - Heather Watson	2:1
WTA Acapulco
01.03.17	Heather Watson - Kristina Mladenovic	1:2
WTA Hopman Cup
03.01.17	Kristina Mladenovic - Heather Watson	2:1
WTA Baku
22.07.14	Heather Watson - Kristina Mladenovic	1:2

Heather Watson - Kristina Mladenovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide