Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: FLORENCE (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday


	Heather Watson		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.77
	2.03	1.81
	1.91	1.8
	1.98	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.59)	1.8 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heather Watson
47.7%

Nuria Brancaccio
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heather Watson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heather Watson's form might have worsened.

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuria Brancaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heather Watson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuria Brancaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Heather Watson - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Watson will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brancaccio: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Brancaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heather Watson
ITF Tournaments
10.05.23	Heather Watson - Lina Gjorcheska	1:2 ✺
09.05.23	Heather Watson - Laura Svatikova	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Heather Watson - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Harriet Dart - Heather Watson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW
- Nuria Brancaccio
WTA Roma
10.05.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.05.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:1 ✺
20.04.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW

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