Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Jessika Ponchet		Heather Watson

	1	2
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.65	1.4	Watch
	2.38	1.59
	2.41	1.54	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.68	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
36.6%

Heather Watson
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.

Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heather Watson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 140. Watson is ranked WTA: 163.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Watson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponchet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Jessika Ponchet - Vitalia Diatchenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Lola Radivojevic - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.05.25	Lois Boisson - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Alina Charaeva - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW
- Heather Watson
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Heather Watson - Olivia Gadecki	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.25	Heather Watson - Daria Saville	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Heather Watson - Wushuang Zheng	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Destanee Aiava - Heather Watson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.12.23	Heather Watson - Jessika Ponchet	Watson H. walkover
ITF Tournaments
29.04.23	Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson	1:2

Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide